---
title: "Using Trends and Scenarios as Tools for Strategy Development: Shaping the Future of Your Enterprise"
description: "Using Trends and Scenarios as Tools for Strategy Development: Shaping the Future of Your Enterprise"
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09 August 2020 Sunday

## Using Trends and Scenarios as Tools for Strategy Development: Shaping the Future of Your Enterprise

By [Bharath Ravi](https://blog.fhyzics.net/fibaar/author/bharath-ravi)

 In: [Business Analysis](https://blog.fhyzics.net/fibaar/tag/business-analysis)

**0** Comments

Is my enterprise really prepared for future business? What can I do to become more competitive? Ulf Pillkahn's book is directed at all of those seeking answers to these questions: executives in strategic positions, business analysts, consultants, trend scouts, marketing and product managers and research engineers.

The book presents the two most powerful tools for future planning: environmental analysis, based on the use of trends, as well as the development of visions of the future through the use of scenarios. While scenarios are generally regarded as a classical management tool, it is expected that the importance of trends will gain tremendously in the coming years. Pillkahn demonstrates how to build robust strategies by aligning the results of environmental and enterprise scenarios, thereby offering entirely new insights.

"Using Trends and Scenarios as Tools for Strategy Development" convincingly illustrates why efficient observation of the environment of an enterprise is an absolutely essential factor for strategy development, and why strategy development only works if it is institutionalized as a permanent enterprise process. It also addresses the issue of what information is needed to keep both processes running. The book further describes how trends can be categorized, and offers advice on how to glean the essential information from the vast variety of trends. Information is provided on how scenarios are used as a holistic instrument for creating visions and pictures of the future, and how the results of trend research and scenario techniques find their way into entrepreneurial strategy development. An optimized strategy development process is also outlined. Practical examples and real-life pictures of the future round off Pillkahn's insightful discussion of future business planning

> Using Trends and Scenarios as Tools for Strategy Development: Shaping the Future of Your Enterprise | Ulf Pillkahn (Author)| Publicis
> 
> [![Buy Now-1](https://blog.fhyzics.net/hs-fs/hubfs/Buy%20Now-1.jpg?width=189&name=Buy%20Now-1.jpg)](https://www.amazon.in/gp/product/3895783048/ref=as_li_tl?ie=UTF8&camp=3638&creative=24630&creativeASIN=3895783048&linkCode=as2&tag=fhyzics-21&linkId=1db21e76e767005a9f63aa3dd26d69a5)         

**Table of Contents**

**Introduction**

**CHAPTER 1. Venturing a Look into the Future   
Moving from the Past into the Future via the Present. **  
Reflections on the Future, Changes in Our Environment, Enterprise Development, Present and Future Challenges, Enterprise Intelligence Test.

**CHAPTER 2. Detection.   
Detecting and Recording Changes in the Enterprise Environment. **  
A Plea for Foresight and Prior Action, The Enterprise Environment, Information as a Basis for Decision Making, How We Can Learn to Understand Our Environment, The Future of Television (I).

**CHAPTER 3. Reflection   
Sorting and Structuring Information. **  
Changes in the Environment, Stability – Paradigms and Assumptions, Changes – Trends, Uncertainty, Contradictions, Indeterminate Elements – Chaos and Wildcards, From Hypothesis to Future Element, The Future of Television (II) .

**CHAPTER 4. Understanding   
Anticipating the Future. **  
Memories of the Future, The Possibilities and Limits of Foresight, Origins and Development of Foresight, Pictures of the Future, Demarcation and Focus, Selecting Future Elements, The Actual “Look” into the Future, Principles and Methods of Analyzing the Future, Methods of Analyzing the Present, Methods of Opinion Formation and Decision Making, Selection of Foresight Methods (“Looking into the Future”), Developing Hypotheses, Development of Scenario Frameworks and Scenarios, Creating Pictures of the Future, Evaluation of Scenarios, Pictures of the Future, The Future of Television (III), Lessons Learned.

**CHAPTER 5. Planning   
Seizing Opportunities and Avoiding Hazards. **  
Planning for the Future: An Insurance Policy, Strategy Review, Developing Strategies in Turbulent Environments, Enterprise Analysis, Strategy Synthesis, Basic Understanding of Strategy and Strategic Goals, Strategic Options and Strategic Fit, Developing Enterprise Scenarios, Developing Strategic Options, Strategic Fit, Robust Strategies, Strategic Decisions, Examining the Future in the Context of Strategy Development, The Future of Television (IV).

**CHAPTER 6. Implementation   
Managing Change. **  
The Dimensions of Change, The Logic of Change,  The Reality of Change in Enterprises, Elements of Change, The First S: Strategy, The Second S: Structures, The Third S: Systems, The Fourth S: Style, The Fifth S: Staff, The Sixth S: Skills, The Seventh S: Shared Values – Visions, F – Foresight, E – Entrepreneurship, I – Innovation Management versus Innovation, Orientation in the Process of Change, Including the Results of Analysis, Reflection, reflection, reflection, The Future of Television (V).

**CHAPTER 7. Learning   
Applications and Examples. **  
Dealing with Uncertainty in Practice, The Future of Petroleum – Introduction, The Future of Petroleum – An Information Base, Compression and Operation, Generating Environment Scenarios, Scenario 1: “Empty”, Scenario 2: “Transition”, Scenario 3: “Fight”, Scenario 4: “Independence”, Generating Enterprise Scenarios, Scenario 1: Cautious Innovation, Scenario 2: No Experiments, Scenario 3: No Plan, Scenario 4: Aggressive, Strategic Implications, Example Summary.

**CHAPTER 8. Homework **  
What You Should Do

**CHAPTER 9. Appendix I **  
100 Sources of Information

**CHAPTER 10. Appendix II   
Short Profiles of Selected Methods. **  
Macro Environment Analysis, Environment Analysis (STEEPV), Trend Analysis, Issue Management, Micro Environment Analysis, Stakeholder Analysis, Customer Profile Analysis, Industry and Market Analysis, Enterprise Analysis, The 7S Model , Value-chain Analysis, Benchmarking, Foresight, Morphological Analysis, Forecast, Weak-signal Analysis, Strategic Analysis, BCG Matrix, SWOT Analysis, Ansoff Matrix, Change Management, Eight-phase Model According to Kotter, Balanced Scorecard.

**References **

**Index **

**LINK FOR THE BOOK**

[https://www.amazon.com/Using-Trends-Scenarios-Strategy-Development/dp/3895783048/ref=sr_1_1?dchild=1&keywords=Using+Trends+and+Scenarios+as+Tools+for+Strategy+Development%3A+Shaping+the+Future+of+Your+Enterprise&qid=1591938160&s=books&sr=1-1](https://www.amazon.com/Using-Trends-Scenarios-Strategy-Development/dp/3895783048/ref=sr_1_1?dchild=1&keywords=Using+Trends+and+Scenarios+as+Tools+for+Strategy+Development%3A+Shaping+the+Future+of+Your+Enterprise&qid=1591938160&s=books&sr=1-1)

** **

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### Written by [Bharath Ravi](https://blog.fhyzics.net/fibaar/author/bharath-ravi)

Business Consultant whose qualification includes a Bachelor’s degree in the field of Mechanical specialized in Automobile & Manufacturing; Trained in Certified Supply Chain Professional (CSCP) Certification, Hands on Foundation Certificate in Business Analysis, BCS (UK) and Certified Professional for Requirements Engineering (CPRE-FL).

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## [Business Analysis Terminology: Top 10 Best Points on Stated Requirement](https://blog.fhyzics.net/fibaar/business-analysis-terminology-top-10-best-points-on-stated-requirement)

Stated requirements play a crucial role in business analysis as they form the foundation for defining and designing a system or solution. Stated requirements are the explicit statements made by stakeholders about what they expect the system to do or how it should behave. 

By [Venkadesh Narayanan](https://blog.fhyzics.net/fibaar/author/venkadesh-narayanan)

 In: [Business Analysis](https://blog.fhyzics.net/fibaar/tag/business-analysis) 

[**](https://blog.fhyzics.net/fibaar/business-analysis-terminology-top-10-best-points-on-stated-requirement)

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## [Business Analysis Terminology: Top 10 Best Points on State Diagram](https://blog.fhyzics.net/fibaar/business-analysis-terminology-top-10-best-points-on-state-diagram)

State Diagrams are a powerful tool in the field of business analysis that visually represents the behavior and flow of a system or process. They provide a clear and concise representation of various states, events, and transitions that occur within a system, enabling analysts to understand complex business processes and identify potential areas for improvement. 

By [Venkadesh Narayanan](https://blog.fhyzics.net/fibaar/author/venkadesh-narayanan)

 In: [Business Analysis](https://blog.fhyzics.net/fibaar/tag/business-analysis) 

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## [Business Analysis Terminology: Top 10 Best Points on Stakeholder List](https://blog.fhyzics.net/fibaar/business-analysis-terminology-top-10-best-points-on-stakeholder-list)

 

Comprehensive Stakeholder Identification: Creating a stakeholder list is a critical first step in business analysis. It involves identifying all individuals, groups, or organizations that have an interest or are affected by a project or business. A comprehensive stakeholder list ensures that no relevant stakeholders are overlooked. 

By [Venkadesh Narayanan](https://blog.fhyzics.net/fibaar/author/venkadesh-narayanan)

 In: [Business Analysis](https://blog.fhyzics.net/fibaar/tag/business-analysis) 

[**](https://blog.fhyzics.net/fibaar/business-analysis-terminology-top-10-best-points-on-stakeholder-list)

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